Myth 5.1: If you don't believe in forever, you cannot do a DCF
If you are not interested in intrinsic valuation and feel that discounted cash flow valuation (DCF) is a waste of your time, you may want to skip these next few posts, which continue a series that I...
View ArticleMyth 5.2: As g-> r...To Infinity and Beyond!
In my last post, I started off by providing a rationale for a terminal value and presented alternatives to the perpetual growth model. That said, most DCFs are built with the the perpetual growth...
View ArticleMyth 5.3: Growth is good, more growth is better!
The perils of holding all else constant in perpetual growth equations and playing with individual inputs, not only leads to the use of impossibly high growth rates but also inflates the importance of...
View ArticleMyth 5.4: Negative Growth Rates forever? Impossible!
As you peruse discounted cash flow valuations, it is striking how infrequently you see projections of negative growth into the future, even for companies where the trend lines in revenues and earnings...
View ArticleMyth 5.5: The Terminal Value ate my DCF!
When you complete a discounted cash flow valuation of a company with a growth window and a terminal value at the end, it is natural to consider how much of your value today comes from your terminal...
View ArticleDevelopment of financial sectoral accounts: new opportunities and challenges...
Full text of Irving Fisher Committee Working Papers No 15, November 2016
View ArticleMeasuring bank risk-taking behaviour - The risk-taking channel of Monetary...
Full text of Irving Fisher Committee Working Papers No 16, November 2016
View ArticleChoquet integral in decision analysis - lessons from the axiomatization....
The Choquet integral is a powerful aggregation operator which lists many well-known models as its special cases. We look at these special cases and provide their axiomatic analysis. In cases where an...
View ArticleAudit and Accounting Guide: Airlines
Get the industry-specific knowledge you need to successfully perform every aspect of your engagement. From revenue recognition challenges associated with frequent flyer programs to guidance for...
View ArticleBefore I Was CEO: Life Stories and Lessons from Leaders Before They Reached...
Have you always known what you wanted to be in life?read more...
View ArticleBusiness Analytics for Managers: Taking Business Intelligence Beyond...
Business Analytics for Managers offers real-world guidance for organizations looking to leverage their data into a competitive advantage. This new second editionread more...
View ArticleHumanizing the Education Machine: How to Create Schools That Turn Disengaged...
Education in the U.S. has been under fire for quite some time, and for good reason. The numbers alone tell a very disconcerting story: according to various polls, 70% of teachers are disengaged. Add to...
View ArticleActivism, Strategic Trading, and Liquidity -- by Kerry Back, Pierre...
We analyze dynamic trading in an anonymous market by an activist investor who can expend costly effort to affect firm value. We obtain the equilibrium in closed form for a general activism technology,...
View ArticleBounds on Treatment Effects in Regression Discontinuity Designs under...
A key assumption in regression discontinuity analysis is that units cannot affect the value of their running variable through strategic behavior, or manipulation, in a way that leads to sorting on...
View ArticleRelationship Lending and the Great Depression: Measurement and New...
The Great Depression remains ground zero for studying the non-monetary effects of financial crises. Despite the abundant scholarship on the period, lack of disaggregated data on lending activities has...
View ArticleClimate Risks and Market Efficiency -- by Harrison Hong, Frank Weikai Li,...
We investigate whether stock markets efficiently price risks brought on or exacerbated by climate change. We focus on drought, the most damaging natural disaster for crops and food-company cash flows....
View ArticleAccounting for Business Income in Measuring Top Income Shares: Integrated...
Business income is important in the upper tail of the personal income distribution, but the extent to which it is captured by measures of personal income varies substantially across tax regimes. Using...
View ArticleHealth, Human Capital and Domestic Violence -- by Nicholas W. Papageorge,...
We study the impact of health shocks on domestic violence and illicit drug use. We argue that health is a form of human capital that shifts incentives for risky behaviors, such as drug use, and also...
View ArticleThe Behavioralist as Policy Designer: The Need to Test Multiple Treatments to...
We explore Tinbergen's fundamental insight that policymakers need at least as many policy instruments as targets. We extend this idea using a large natural field experiment in water resource...
View ArticlePopulation Growth and Carbon Emissions -- by Gregory Casey, Oded Galor
We provide evidence that lower fertility can simultaneously increase income per capita and lower carbon emissions, eliminating a trade-off central to most policies aimed at slowing global climate...
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